The format for my favorite picks: first the golfer’s name, and then that golfer’s betting odds for the given category, and finally the percentage my model predicts each golfer has a better chance of winning the bet than the odds have projected. All odds are taken from Brovada and are subject to change.
Favorite Picks
To Win
| 1. Justin Rose +900 | 16.9% |
| 2. Phil Mickelson +4000 | 3.4% |
| 3. Andrew Putnam +2800 | 3.0% |
| 4. Patrick Cantlay +1600 | 2.2% |
| 5. Aaron Wise +2800 | 1.9% |
| 6. Ryan Palmer +5000 | 0.9% |
| 7. Sam Ryder +12500 | 0.7% |
| 8. Bronson Burgoon +12500 | 0.3% |
| 9. Chesson Hadley +8000 | 0.2% |
| 10. Scott Stallings +20000 | 0.1% |
Top 10
| 1. Phil Mickelson +400 | 10.9% |
| 2. Andrew Putnam +300 | 9.5% |
| 3. John Catlin +1800 | 7.6% |
| 4. Patrick Cantlay +150 | 5.9% |
| 5. Sam Ryder +1200 | 5.6% |
| 6. Daniel Berger +550 | 5.1% |
| 7. Bronson Burgoon +1200 | 4.8% |
| 8. Jason Kokrak +1100 | 4.3% |
| 9. Ryan Palmer +500 | 3.5% |
| 10. Ryan Armour +1000 | 3.1% |
| 11. Justin Rose -137 | 2.8% |
| 12. C.T. Pan +550 | 2.5% |
| 13. Chez Reavie +400 | 2.3% |
| 14. Nick Watney +900 | 1.9% |
| 15. Scott Stallings +1800 | 1.6% |
These are the odds that my model has projected as the most likely golfers to win, place in the top 10, and make the cut.
Overall Odds
To Win
| 1. Justin Rose – 25.8% | +900 |
| 2. Patrick Cantlay – 7.9% | +1600 |
| 3. Andrew Putnam – 6.3% | +2800 |
| 4. Phil Mickelson – 5.3% | +4000 |
| 5. Aaron Wise – 5.0% | +2800 |
| 6. Jon Rahm – 3.8% | +650 |
| 7. Ryan Palmer – 3.1% | +5000 |
| 8. Abraham Ancer – 2.9% | +3300 |
| 9. Chez Reavie – 2.2% | +4000 |
| 10. Luke List – 2.1% | +3300 |
| 11. Charles Howell III – 1.8% | +2000 |
| 12. Daniel Berger – 1.5% | +6600 |
| 13. Adam Hadwin – 1.4% | +2500 |
| 14. Chesson Hadley – 1.4% | +8000 |
Top 10
| 1. Justin Rose – 59.8% | -137 |
| 2. Patrick Cantlay – 42.3% | +150 |
| 3. Jon Rahm – 38.6% | -150 |
| 4. Andrew Putnam – 31.5% | +300 |
| 5. Phil Mickelson – 30.6% | +400 |
| 6. Adam Hadwin – 24.7% | +260 |
| 7. Aaron Wise – 24.7% | +275 |
| 8. Charles Howell III – 23.7% | +175 |
| 9. Chez Reavie – 23.7% | +400 |
| 10. Luke List – 22.7% | +350 |
| 11. Ryan Palmer – 21.6% | +500 |
| 12. Abraham Ancer – 20.6% | +350 |
| 13. Daniel Berger – 19.7% | +550 |
| 14. C.T. Pan – 19.6% | +550 |
| 15. Beau Hossler – 14.9% | +450 |
Make the Cut
| 1. Patrick Cantlay – 90.9% |
| 2. Phil Mickelson – 86.1% |
| 3. Justin Rose – 85.0% |
| 4. Nick Watney – 84.4% |
| 5. Daniel Berger – 81.7% |
| 6. Brian Gay – 80.9% |
| 7. Brian Harman – 79.7% |
| 8. Andrew Putnam – 79.2% |
| 9. Adam Hadwin – 78.0% |
| 10. Charles Howell III – 77.7% |
| 11. Ryan Armour – 76.5% |
| 12. Beau Hossler – 76.3% |
| 13. Jamie Lovemark – 76.0% |
| 14. C.T. Pan – 74.9% |
| 15. Jon Rahm – 74.7% |
| 16. Abraham Ancer – 74.3% |
| 17. Lucas Glover – 74.3% |
| 18. Charley Hoffman – 73.9% |
| 19. Si Woo Kim – 73.9% |
Spark Show DFS 